ULTRACEMCO Share Price, Analysis & Fundamentals

UltraTech Cement faces technical weakness with a low RSI of 33.19 and a recent -9.9% return, despite strong fundamentals and analyst buy ratings.

The stock's short-term performance remains weak, with a -9.90% return over the last month and a -14.05% return over three months, indicating a bearish trend as evidenced by a negative trend alignment score and the price trading 5.77% below its 50-day moving average.
Momentum indicators suggest a downturn, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.19 and a bearish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signal, implying that the stock is currently in an unfavorable technical position.
The company reported robust financial results for the latest quarter, with revenue at ₹25,799 Cr, net profit at ₹3,000 Cr, and EPS at ₹101.22, showing significant quarter-over-quarter growth of 18.18% in revenue and over 72% in profit and EPS.
Year-over-year, the company also demonstrated strong growth, with revenue up 11.86%, net profit up 21.21%, and EPS up 20.17%, highlighting a consistent positive trajectory in its fundamental performance.
Analysts maintain a largely positive outlook, with 84.21% of ratings being 'Strong Buy' or 'Buy', suggesting confidence in the company's future prospects despite current technical headwinds.
Ownership data shows promoters holding a substantial 59.33% stake, while institutional investors (FIIs and DIIs) collectively hold 32.03%, with a recent increase in DII holdings by 0.97% QoQ.

Short-term returns remain negative, with a 1-month return of -9.90% and a 3-month return of -14.05%.
The trend is bearish, indicated by a negative trend alignment score of -3 and the price being 5.77% below the 50-day moving average.
Momentum is weak, with an RSI of 33.19 and a bearish MACD signal.
Volatility is present, with the price trading near the lower Bollinger Band (-1.28% from lower band) and a 20-day annualized volatility of 18.79%.
The stock is positioned 16.37% below its 52-week high and is experiencing a current drawdown of -16.37%. The RSI percentile is also low at 3.85% over the past year.

The market behaviour is predominantly bearish, characterized by negative short-term returns and a bearish trend alignment. Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD further support this negative outlook. While volatility is present, the price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, and the stock is significantly off its 52-week high, indicating a weak market sentiment. The low RSI percentile over the past year reinforces the current bearish momentum.

Latest quarter revenue at ₹25,799 Cr, with net profit at ₹3,000 Cr and EPS at ₹101.22.
Quarter-over-quarter, revenue increased by 18.181%, net profit by 73.511%, and EPS by 72.878%.
Year-over-year, revenue grew by 11.863%, net profit by 21.212%, and EPS by 20.171%.
Profitability shows a positive trend both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.

The company has announced details regarding the deduction of tax at source on dividends for FY2025-26, with a proposed dividend of ₹240 per share, subject to AGM approval. Additionally, outcomes from a shareholder meeting and postal ballot have been released, along with intimations for upcoming analyst and investor meets.